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Could Bitcoin be heading for a historic new high? Financial experts say yes if a key source of liquidity keeps the markets flowing.
Bitcoin's price is once again catching the attention of analysts and investors alike, with forecasts suggesting a possible surge to $137,000 by Q3 2025. This optimism is tied closely to the United States Treasury's ongoing liquidity strategy, which has already injected $500 billion into the markets in recent months.
What's Fueling the Optimism?
At the heart of this bullish outlook is the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) the federal government's main account at the Federal Reserve. Since hitting the $36 trillion debt ceiling on January 2, 2025, the Treasury has been tapping into this account to fund operations, releasing massive amounts of capital into the economy.
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According to macroeconomic analyst Tomas, this strategy has increased net Federal Reserve liquidity to $6.3 trillion, with projections indicating it could reach $6.6 trillion by August a multi-year high.
Tomas explains:
“As the Treasury draws down the TGA balance, it essentially injects cash into the broader financial system, increasing liquidity and potentially pushing up the price of risk assets like Bitcoin.”
The Role of Tax Season and Debt Ceiling Negotiations
The ongoing tax season is expected to temporarily reduce liquidity, but once it passes, the Treasury is likely to resume TGA drawdowns. If the current debt ceiling discussions stretch into late summer, further liquidity infusions could create the ideal conditions for a major crypto rally.
Bitcoin: A Mirror of Global Liquidity?
Renowned financial analyst Lyn Alden recently emphasized Bitcoin's unique relationship with global liquidity. According to her research, Bitcoin has historically mirrored global liquidity trends 83% of the time over 12-month periods, outperforming traditional assets like the S&P 500 and gold in this regard.
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This strong correlation paints Bitcoin as a global liquidity barometer a sentiment echoed by many in the investment community.
Technicals Also Point to a Bullish Breakout
On the technical side, anonymous trader Titan of Crypto shared a bullish chart pattern that suggests Bitcoin could be ready for a significant breakout. A bullish pennant on the daily chart hints at a possible move toward the $137,000 mark by July or August if BTC can overcome key resistance levels.
The key challenge? Bitcoin needs to break above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA) and hold that ground. A collective reclaim of these indicators on higher timeframes would add confidence to the upward momentum.
“If Bitcoin can secure a strong position above these EMAs, it opens the door to six-figure territory,” Titan of Crypto noted.
Bottom Line: Is Now the Time to Pay Attention?
While no forecast is guaranteed, the combination of liquidity injections, macro tailwinds, and technical chart strength provides a compelling case for a major move in the crypto market.
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With Bitcoin potentially setting its sights on $137K, now might be the perfect moment to reassess your portfolio or simply watch history unfold.
🔍 Stay informed, stay ahead. Follow updates on market liquidity, crypto trends, and expert analysis to make smart, timely decisions in this fast-moving landscape.
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