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Dogecoin's Chart Sends Mixed Signals But Is a Bigger Move Ahead?
After an impressive month-long rally that saw Dogecoin (DOGE) jump from $0.164 to an intraday high of $0.259 on May 11, the popular memecoin appears to be losing momentum. As of today, DOGE is trading around $0.228, a healthy gain from its early May low but still far off its 2021 high and potentially signaling deeper turbulence ahead.
But does this chart really spell disaster for DOGE, or is there still room for a surprise upside?
๐ A Closer Look at the Pullback
Dogecoin is currently down around 12% from its recent high, but technical analysts suggest the real concern lies not in the size of the pullback but in its structure.
Leading YouTube analyst More Crypto Online recently warned that Dogecoin’s latest rally might not have the technical strength to sustain further gains. According to Elliott Wave theory, strong trends typically unfold in a five-wave pattern. However, DOGE’s April-to-May rise seems to have formed just a three-wave move often a sign of a corrective, not impulsive, trend.
The analyst pointed out that the price already appears to be in the early stages of a fresh five-wave decline, which could signal the beginning of a larger corrective phase. If the token closes below the critical support level at $0.21, it may confirm a deeper pullback toward the $0.199–$0.183 range.
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⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
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Support to Hold: $0.21 — A daily close below this level may indicate further downside.
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Bearish Targets: $0.199 to $0.183 — Based on Fibonacci retracement zones.
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Resistance Zones: $0.233 to $0.247 — A bounce here may be just a short-lived recovery unless bulls manage a decisive close above $0.247.
A confirmed break above $0.247 could invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially paving the way for another push higher.
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๐ก Macro Market Pressure
Beyond the charts, Dogecoin is also facing broader market headwinds. Rising U.S. Treasury yields and increasing Bitcoin dominance are draining liquidity from smaller, high-risk altcoins like DOGE. Even the recent launch of the Grayscale Dogecoin Trust hasn’t been enough to reverse May’s capital outflows.
This broader "risk-off" sentiment has hit many altcoins hard, and Dogecoin is no exception.
๐ What Comes Next for DOGE?
While short-term technicals lean bearish, this doesn’t necessarily mean doom for Dogecoin. As with many assets in the crypto world, market psychology and unexpected catalysts can shift sentiment quickly.
For traders and long-term holders, the coming days will be critical. If DOGE holds the $0.21 support level or bounces convincingly above $0.247, optimism could return. But if support breaks, we may see a sharper correction before any new bullish momentum builds.
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๐ถ The Bottom Line
Dogecoin’s recent chart action may be flashing warning signs, but history has shown that DOGE can surprise on both the upside and downside. For now, eyes are on $0.21 as the line in the sand. A hold here could open the door for a recovery but a slip below it may trigger further losses before any bounce.
In crypto, nothing is ever certain but knowing the key levels can help you stay one step ahead.
๐ Always do your own research. Trade responsibly.
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