Monday, April 21, 2025

The Final Countdown? Why Bitcoin Under $100K Could Soon Be History

 


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In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, timing is everything and according to Arthur Hayes, one of the most influential voices in crypto, time may be running out for those hoping to snag Bitcoin below the $100,000 mark.

Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom, recently took to social media platform X with a striking message:

“Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC < $100k.”

It wasn’t just a casual remark. It was a loud, clear, and urgent call to action one that has captured the attention of both retail investors and institutional giants alike.


Treasury Buybacks: A Hidden Catalyst?

What’s driving Hayes’ bold prediction? It’s not just crypto charts or investor hype it’s macroeconomics.

Hayes points to a potential wave of U.S. Treasury buybacks, a rarely discussed but powerful policy move where the government repurchases its own debt from the open market. This maneuver injects fresh liquidity into the financial system, much of which tends to flow into risk assets like stocks, real estate and increasingly Bitcoin.

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He refers to these buybacks as a financial “Bazooka” capable of unleashing massive upward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. With a fixed supply of just 21 million coins, Bitcoin is primed to benefit from any surge in demand triggered by excess liquidity.

Bitcoin vs. Fiat: The Battle for Value

The narrative isn’t just about new cash entering the system. It’s about what people do with that cash.

Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, supports Hayes’ view with a compelling projection: Bitcoin could hit $132,000 by the end of 2025. His thesis centers on the exploding M2 money supply a key indicator of inflation. As more fiat currency is printed and circulated, investors may seek safe havens from devaluation.

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And while gold has traditionally served that role, Bitcoin is rapidly emerging as the modern alternative. With unmatched scarcity and digital portability, it’s becoming the go-to store of value in an age where central banks show no signs of slowing their printing presses.

Dollar Weakness and the Rise of Digital Safe Havens

Another bullish tailwind: the U.S. dollar is losing strength. The Dollar Index recently fell to its lowest point since early 2022, a move that historically drives capital into hard assets.

Bitcoin’s growing correlation with gold further reinforces its role as a hedge. Technical indicators, including a descending wedge breakout and rising volume, support a narrative of sustained upward momentum.


 

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, notes that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a “digital gold,” tracking macroeconomic trends rather than just market hype.

Institutions Are Making Their Move

While some individual investors remain cautious, institutional interest is soaring. Japanese investment firm Metaplanet often dubbed “Japan’s MicroStrategy” has now acquired over $400 million worth of Bitcoin, with $28 million added just recently.

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In the UK and beyond, asset managers are building serious positions, treating Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset rather than a short-term gamble.

For everyday investors, the writing on the wall is clear: the big players are already in.

Is This the Final Boarding Call?

Arthur Hayes has a reputation for bold predictions but he’s also known for being ahead of the curve. If his latest forecast proves accurate, we could be witnessing the final phase of Bitcoin’s sub-$100K era.

Between the potential flood of liquidity from Treasury buybacks, weakening confidence in fiat, and surging institutional demand, the stage is set for a major breakout.

For those still waiting for a “better entry,” Hayes’ message is simple: this might be your last opportunity to buy Bitcoin under six figures. Because once it lifts off—there may be no coming back.

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