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The crypto market is never short of surprises, and Bitcoin (BTC) is once again at the center of attention. According to respected analyst Josh Olszewicz, Bitcoin investors should brace for a challenging September, with sideways or weak momentum likely dominating the next six weeks. Yet, beyond the short-term uncertainty, the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 shines with optimism and that could be the signal long-term holders are waiting for.
Why September Could Be Tough for Bitcoin
Historically, September has not been kind to Bitcoin, and Olszewicz points out that this year may follow that same seasonal trend. ETF inflows, while still significant (with around $550 million entering in just one week), are lighter compared to earlier surges. Corporate treasury purchases have also slowed, leaving the market with more sellers than buyers in the near term.
The takeaway? It’s not about a crash it’s about time, not price. Olszewicz believes Bitcoin is more likely to experience choppy sideways movement rather than a sharp drop. He stresses patience: the market is setting the stage for what could be a powerful breakout later this year.
Key Levels to Watch
The analyst simplifies the Bitcoin chart into critical price levels:
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$121K – $122K → The “imaginary line” that marks the gateway to a bullish breakout. A daily close above this level could open the door for a run toward $150K.
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$104K → The 20-week moving average. Closing below this could indicate short-term weakness.
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$100K → A make-or-break level for October. Dropping under this level late in the year would raise concerns about the current cycle.
For now, Olszewicz does not see anything truly bearish on the charts only a lack of strong momentum.
The Ichimoku Cloud Decision Tree
Olszewicz uses the Ichimoku Cloud system as his preferred confirmation tool. His strategy is not about predicting the future but reacting to triggers:
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A bearish TK cross → followed by
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A close inside the daily cloud → leading to
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A potential “edge-to-edge” trade setup.
This systematic approach means that instead of guessing, traders can follow clear signals.
The Bigger Picture: Patience Before the Breakout
The real message here is simple: don’t let short-term noise shake long-term conviction. September may feel slow, but the fourth quarter is shaping up to be a window of opportunity. Macro events like Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole could add short-term volatility, but the roadmap for Bitcoin remains intact.
For long-term believers, this lull could be the calm before the storm a chance to position wisely before momentum returns.
Final Thoughts
The coming weeks might test investors’ patience, but Olszewicz’s roadmap suggests that staying calm could pay off. Instead of over-leveraging or panicking during a slow September, the strategy may be to wait for the breakout signals. If history is any guide, the fourth quarter could be when Bitcoin reminds the world why it’s called digital gold.
👉 The decision is yours: Do you let short-term weakness shake your confidence, or do you position now for the stronger months ahead?
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. The Crypto Canadas is not responsible for any financial losses.
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